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Live Β· Aggressive strategy

πŸ”₯ Aggressive live

Maximum Kelly (40%), minimum edge (3%). Takes almost every signal. High variance β€” will swing hard in both directions. High risk, potentially high reward.

Bankroll
$2841
$-7158.51 -71.6% vs $10000 start
Record
21W / 24L
47% win rate
Open Bets
0
peak $17020
Bankroll curve
45 settled Β· green = win Β· red = loss
πŸ’‘
Performance insight

21 wins averaging $-7159 net gain. Kelly sizing means wins pay out asymmetrically β€” a signal bought at 0.20 returns 4Γ— on a correct call. The model targets edge, not frequency.

Today's bets
Positions opened & settled today
live
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No bets placed yet today
The bot fires the moment a new signal is published.
Short-term bets
Markets resolving within 30 days
≀ 30 days
Settled
21W / 24L
Win rate
47%
P&L
$-7158.51
Open positions 33
Market Dir Resolves Entry Edge Stake Max Win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? ↑ YES Apr 30 0.165 25.5% $1338 +$6,771
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? ↑ YES Apr 30 0.205 6.5% $534 +$2,070
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? ↑ YES Apr 15 0.095 8.5% $1323 +$12,602
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? ↑ YES Apr 30 0.330 8.0% $488 +$992
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? ↓ NO Apr 15 0.840 13.0% $1294 +$247
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 me… ↓ NO Apr 29 0.018 6.2% $1338 +$75,121
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 … ↑ YES Apr 29 0.004 4.6% $1338 +$380,957
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? ↑ YES Apr 15 0.105 12.9% $1338 +$11,405
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 … ↑ YES Apr 29 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? ↑ YES May 01 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April… ↑ YES Apr 30 0.003 18.2% $1338 +$533,875
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? ↓ NO May 01 0.983 15.4% $1338 +$24
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? ↓ NO Apr 15 0.299 11.7% $747 +$1,751
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 me… ↓ NO Apr 29 0.020 17.9% $1338 +$67,279
Trump out as President by April 30? ↓ NO Apr 30 0.985 14.9% $1338 +$21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ↓ NO Apr 30 0.971 13.8% $1338 +$41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? ↑ YES Apr 30 0.051 14.9% $1338 +$25,158
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? ↑ YES Apr 30 0.085 14.2% $1338 +$14,404
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 … ↓ NO Apr 29 0.993 17.0% $1338 +$10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 … ↑ YES Apr 29 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 m… ↑ YES Apr 29 0.009 16.9% $1338 +$156,078
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? ↑ YES Apr 15 0.105 13.6% $1338 +$11,405
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? ↑ YES May 01 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April… ↑ YES Apr 30 0.003 16.9% $1338 +$533,875
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? ↑ YES May 01 0.205 10.6% $870 +$3,375
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? ↓ NO May 01 0.983 14.7% $1338 +$24
Netanyahu out by April 30? ↑ YES Apr 30 0.014 15.0% $1338 +$94,236
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? ↓ NO Apr 15 0.973 14.4% $1338 +$37
Trump out as President by April 30? ↓ NO Apr 30 0.985 14.9% $1338 +$21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 … ↑ YES Apr 29 0.005 18.4% $1338 +$296,003
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 m… ↓ NO Apr 29 0.993 16.4% $1338 +$10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 … ↓ NO Apr 29 0.994 15.8% $1338 +$9
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? ↑ YES Apr 15 0.105 13.6% $1338 +$11,405
Recently settled
Date Market Dir Entry Stake P&L Result
Apr 13 Nuggets vs. Spurs ↑ YES 0.185 $754 +$3323.09 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Nuggets vs. Spurs ↓ NO 0.795 $452 $-451.55 βœ— LOST
Apr 13 Nuggets vs. Spurs ↑ YES 0.355 $1338 +$2431.07 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Magic vs. Celtics ↑ YES 0.835 $437 $-437.03 βœ— LOST
Apr 13 Magic vs. Celtics ↓ NO 0.240 $440 +$1393.78 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Hawks vs. Heat ↑ YES 0.395 $252 $-251.96 βœ— LOST
Apr 13 Hornets vs. Knicks ↓ NO 0.135 $630 $-630.20 βœ— LOST
Apr 13 Hornets vs. Knicks ↓ NO 0.165 $825 $-825.50 βœ— LOST
Apr 13 Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↑ YES 0.078 $1170 $-1169.71 βœ— LOST
Apr 13 Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↑ YES 0.076 $1236 $-1236.44 βœ— LOST
Apr 13 Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↓ NO 0.939 $730 +$47.85 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↓ NO 0.919 $737 +$64.96 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↓ NO 0.964 $1338 +$50.69 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↓ NO 0.944 $1338 +$79.37 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↓ NO 0.635 $318 $-317.51 βœ— LOST
Apr 13 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↑ YES 0.355 $1338 +$2431.07 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↑ YES 0.355 $1338 +$2431.07 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↑ YES 0.510 $1338 +$1285.56 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↑ YES 0.565 $1338 +$1030.17 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↑ YES 0.695 $789 +$346.26 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↓ NO 0.883 $479 +$63.50 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↓ NO 0.935 $1338 +$93.78 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↓ NO 0.937 $1338 +$89.96 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↓ NO 0.726 $1338 +$506.26 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↓ NO 0.721 $1338 +$517.77 βœ“ WON
Apr 13 Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↑ YES 0.023 $1338 $-1338.03 βœ— LOST
Apr 13 Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↑ YES 0.002 $1338 $-1338.03 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026? ↑ YES 0.002 $1338 $-1338.03 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026? ↑ YES 0.004 $1338 $-1338.03 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026? ↑ YES 0.010 $1338 $-1338.03 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026? ↑ YES 0.004 $1338 $-1338.03 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026? ↑ YES 0.003 $1338 $-1338.03 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? ↑ YES 0.004 $1338 $-1338.03 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? ↓ NO 0.998 $1338 +$3.35 βœ“ WON
Apr 12 Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↑ YES 0.003 $1338 $-1338.03 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? ↑ YES 0.003 $1338 $-1338.03 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers ↑ YES 0.385 $354 +$565.17 βœ“ WON
Apr 12 Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres ↑ YES 0.016 $2393 $-2393.48 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers ↑ YES 0.095 $2393 $-2393.48 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) ↑ YES 0.495 $3191 $-3191.31 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 76ers vs. Pacers ↓ NO 0.105 $4255 $-4255.08 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 Timberwolves vs. Rockets ↑ YES 0.195 $1721 +$7105.38 βœ“ WON
Apr 12 76ers vs. Pacers ↓ NO 0.105 $3305 $-3304.98 βœ— LOST
Apr 12 Timberwolves vs. Rockets ↑ YES 0.195 $1386 +$5719.92 βœ“ WON
Apr 12 76ers vs. Pacers ↓ NO 0.115 $2500 $-2500.00 βœ— LOST
Long-term bets
Markets resolving in 30+ days
30+ days
Open positions 51
Market Dir Resolves Entry Edge Stake Max Win
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? ↓ NO Jul 01 0.827 7.3% $683 +$143
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? ↓ NO May 27 0.345 49.5% $1338 +$2,540
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? ↓ NO Jul 01 0.829 12.1% $1144 +$237
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↓ NO Jul 20 0.848 3.2% $332 +$60
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? ↓ NO Jul 01 0.841 9.9% $991 +$187
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.147 3.3% $352 +$2,043
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.003 16.2% $1338 +$533,875
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.005 16.3% $1338 +$296,003
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? ↓ NO May 31 0.914 11.9% $1338 +$127
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? ↑ YES May 31 0.195 11.6% $989 +$4,082
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? ↑ YES Jul 01 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? ↑ YES Jul 01 0.148 10.7% $1135 +$6,536
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.003 16.2% $1338 +$533,875
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.003 18.2% $1338 +$533,875
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? ↑ YES May 27 0.855 11.0% $1187 +$201
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? ↑ YES Jul 01 0.004 16.8% $1338 +$380,957
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.003 16.2% $1338 +$533,875
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↓ NO Jul 20 0.996 16.0% $1338 +$6
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.006 15.9% $1338 +$241,941
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election ↑ YES Jun 03 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? ↑ YES Jun 30 0.946 15.1% $1338 +$77
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.017 15.1% $1338 +$79,755
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.024 14.7% $1338 +$54,413
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? ↑ YES Jun 30 0.036 14.2% $1338 +$36,353
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↑ YES Oct 04 0.004 19.6% $1338 +$380,957
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.003 16.2% $1338 +$533,875
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.003 16.2% $1338 +$533,875
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? ↑ YES Jul 01 0.148 10.7% $1135 +$6,536
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? ↑ YES Jul 01 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.003 16.5% $1338 +$533,875
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.003 16.2% $1338 +$533,875
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.003 16.2% $1338 +$533,875
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↓ NO Jul 20 0.911 11.7% $1338 +$131
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? ↑ YES Jul 01 0.004 16.1% $1338 +$380,957
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.003 16.2% $1338 +$533,875
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.003 16.2% $1338 +$533,875
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.006 15.9% $1338 +$241,941
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election ↑ YES Jun 03 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? ↑ YES Jun 07 0.016 15.2% $1338 +$82,289
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? ↑ YES Jun 30 0.946 15.2% $1338 +$76
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.017 15.8% $1338 +$79,755
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↑ YES Jul 20 0.023 14.6% $1338 +$58,130
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? ↑ YES Jun 30 0.036 14.9% $1338 +$36,353
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? ↑ YES Jul 01 0.148 10.8% $1144 +$6,611
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? ↑ YES Jun 30 0.115 14.0% $1338 +$10,297
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? ↑ YES Jul 01 0.005 16.0% $1338 +$296,003
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