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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

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other · resolves 2026-04-30

Bot positions on this market
Conservative YES entry 0.165
3242 shares -$3242.42
Balanced YES entry 0.165
1487 shares -$1487.26
Aggressive YES entry 0.165
1338 shares -$1338.03
Calibration Hunter YES entry 0.016
800 shares -$800.00

Signals on this market

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↑ YES ✗ LOST edge 2026-04-25 14:22 UTC

Calibration model puts YES at 67.3% vs market 1.6% — 65.8% drift after isotonic correction of original raw 42.0%.

entry
0.016
edge 65.8%
↑ YES ✗ LOST news 2026-04-12 08:43 UTC

US ships transited Hormuz for mine-clearing [487]; Iran can't find own mines [486]; Trump: reopen soon w/ talks [506]. Positive developments boost P(normal by Apr30).

entry
0.165
edge 25.5%