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Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Trade on Polymarket ↗

sports · resolves 2026-04-13

Bot positions on this market
Conservative NO entry 0.635
1026 shares -$1025.90
Conservative YES entry 0.355
4323 shares +$7854.87
Conservative YES entry 0.355
4323 shares +$7854.87
Conservative YES entry 0.510
4323 shares +$4153.69
Conservative YES entry 0.565
4323 shares +$3328.50
Conservative YES entry 0.695
2549 shares +$1118.79
Balanced NO entry 0.635
441 shares -$441.16
Balanced YES entry 0.355
1487 shares +$2702.20
Balanced YES entry 0.355
1487 shares +$2702.20
Balanced YES entry 0.510
1487 shares +$1428.93
Balanced YES entry 0.565
1487 shares +$1145.06
Balanced YES entry 0.695
1096 shares +$481.10
Aggressive NO entry 0.635
318 shares -$317.51
Aggressive YES entry 0.355
1338 shares +$2431.07
Aggressive YES entry 0.355
1338 shares +$2431.07
Aggressive YES entry 0.510
1338 shares +$1285.56
Aggressive YES entry 0.565
1338 shares +$1030.17
Aggressive YES entry 0.695
789 shares +$346.26
Scalper NO entry 0.635
812 shares -$811.95
Scalper YES entry 0.355
2053 shares +$3730.06
Scalper YES entry 0.355
2053 shares +$3730.06
Scalper YES entry 0.510
2053 shares +$1972.47
Scalper YES entry 0.565
2053 shares +$1580.61
Scalper YES entry 0.695
2018 shares +$885.47

Signals on this market

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↓ NO ✗ LOST news 2026-04-12 02:03 UTC

Fresh news [390,384]: McIlroy struggles in Rd3 but shares lead with surging Cameron Young entering final round; market overprices Rory's win prob vs typical co-leader odds (~25-30%).

entry
0.635
edge 5.5%
↑ YES ✓ WON news 2026-04-12 01:01 UTC

Golf Digest [358]: Rory McIlroy has built a monster lead in bid for second green jacket at 2026 Masters; USA Today [369] live updates confirm strong position late tournament.

entry
0.355
edge 36.5%
↑ YES ✓ WON news 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC

McIlroy leads by 6 shots after Round 3 per Reuters [331] & NYT [347]; historically dominant position at Masters.

entry
0.355
edge 49.5%
↑ YES ✓ WON news 2026-04-11 21:00 UTC

McIlroy leads by 6 shots entering 3rd round of 2026 Masters per Masters.com [320], Yahoo [308], Golf Channel [309]; market at 51% undervalues dominant position.

entry
0.510
edge 29.0%
↑ YES ✓ WON news 2026-04-11 20:00 UTC

Rory McIlroy sets Masters 36-hole record with 6-shot lead (news [293],[287]); market lags at 56.5%

entry
0.565
edge 28.5%
↑ YES ✓ WON news 2026-04-11 18:39 UTC

Rory McIlroy takes largest 36-hole lead in Masters history per PGATour.com [260]; strong position with 2 rounds left

entry
0.695
edge 12.5%