Market at 0.25% for extreme longshot (Uzbek ~65th FIFA). Clamp/calibration pulls up from near-0. Heavy yes imbalance 0.84 signals whale buy pressure amid high liq $2.3M.
Live signals
Upgrade to Pro for full rationale →Free tier — full rationale and fair value hidden. Upgrade to Pro.
Whale imbalance 0.716 indicates heavy YES bid side; $2.2M liq market at 0.0045; Paraguay longshot (~1/20000 prior) but pull toward 0.5 & clamp; thin evidence.
Whale bid imbalance 0.604; market 0.45% undervalues SK baseline ~1/48=2.1% for 48-team WC; no news or lines
Orderbook imbalance 0.877 signals strong YES-side whale pressure; thin book but liquidity $305k; no news to contradict.
Extreme orderbook imbalance (0.980) indicates heavy bid-side liquidity, suggesting whale pressure on YES despite ultra-low price & high liquidity ($498k). Thin news; long-dated event.
Whale imbalance 0.715 on thin orderbook (bids 0.004@0, asks 0.005@0); market at 0.45% undervalues BTC 150k potential in April 2025/26 bull cycle.
Orderbook imbalance -0.778 indicates heavy ask-side pressure, likely whale selling YES amid thin top-of-book sizes.
Whale imbalance 0.642 amid thin orderbook (top bids/asks @0) suggests informed YES-side pressure; no news, long-dated market.
Extreme orderbook imbalance (0.947) suggests whale accumulation on YES at ultra-low prices (0.0045). No relevant NBA/76ers news in last 24h.
Whale imbalance 0.641 favoring YES bids in orderbook
Strong negative orderbook imbalance (-0.908) from whale activity indicates selling pressure on YES.
Orderbook imbalance 0.82 favors YES bids (whale_imbalance trigger), suggesting accumulation despite low 0.0025 price & long-term unlikelihood.
Whale imbalance 0.774 favors bids; thin top orderbook but high liquidity $2.9M; Cape Verde extreme longshot but potential mispricing from whale activity.
Heavy YES bid imbalance (0.825) suggests whale accumulation despite thin top-of-book and low fundamental odds for NZ.
Whale imbalance 0.915 indicates strong YES-side pressure in thin book (liq $43k, top sizes 0); market price 0.0035 extreme low pulled toward 0.5.
Whale imbalance 0.727 shows strong YES-side orderbook pressure despite ultra-low market price.
Whale imbalance of 0.607 shows YES-side pressure; no contrary news or lines; long-term market with thin top-of-book.
Whale imbalance 0.739 favoring YES; thin top orderbook (0 depth at 0.004 bid/0.005 ask); market at 0.45% reflects lottery pricing for low-prob event.
Whale imbalance 0.748 heavily favors yes bids at ultra-low 0.0035 price; thin evidence but suggests undervaluation for Magic's contender potential in 2026.
Whale imbalance 0.780 favors YES; thin orderbook (bids 0.002@0, asks 0.003@0); no news or lines.
Heavy negative orderbook imbalance (-0.760) indicates whale pressure selling YES (buying NO). Thin book but triggered on whale_imbalance.
Extreme longshot for Congo DR to win WC (no African winner ever, rank ~70th). Market at 0.45% inflated by whale yes imbalance (0.953); thin evidence, clamp low.
Orderbook imbalance 0.634 signals whale buying pressure on YES amid thin top-of-book and low price.
Whale sell imbalance (-0.706) on thin book (0 depth top5) pushes yes to 1.75%; market extreme low pulled toward 0.5 per calibration; no news.
Heavy YES imbalance (0.698) indicates potential whale activity on thin orderbook; market price 0.0045 but clamped per calibration.
High orderbook imbalance 0.864 on whale trigger indicates buy pressure on YES despite low price
US-Iran ceasefire began Apr9 but excludes Lebanon; ongoing Israel-Hezbollah strikes (CNN#35,Sky#31) and Gulf attacks (NBC#45) indicate conflict persists.
High orderbook imbalance (0.690) signals whale bid pressure on YES at thin liquidity ($42k); market price 0.25% likely undervalued for top golfer like Rahm.
Whale imbalance 0.921 favors YES on thin book (bids 0.945@0, asks 0.946@0). Market at 94.55% YES for conflict ending by Dec 31. No news; ambiguous resolution.
High orderbook imbalance (0.73) indicates whale buy pressure on YES despite thin top levels; market at 1.65% undervalues vs prior ~2.5% Morocco odds post-2022 semis.
Whale imbalance 0.725 shows strong YES-side pressure despite thin top orderbook (0 sizes) and low liquidity depth. No news or lines to contradict. Market price 0.024.
Strong YES bid imbalance (0.911) on thin orderbook ($29k liq); no news or criteria provided.
Bid-ask imbalance -0.743 signals whale selling pressure on thin book.
Whale imbalance 0.616 on thin top-of-book; market at 3.55% with $246k liq, no news. Slight pull up from mid.
Whale imbalance -0.604 indicates YES selling pressure. Fed Mar minutes show openness to hikes [32,33,43]; ceasefire [41] mitigates but data pending (CPI). Market overprices no-change.
Whale imbalance 0.613 on thin $25k book w/ yes_price 0.0015; suggests undervaluation on specific low-prob event.
[31] Sky News: Trump tells Netanyahu to 'low-key it' in Lebanon, confirming he remains active as President. No news of removal.
Recent news of US-Iran ceasefire ([34],[41]) and de-escalation (Trump urges Israel low-key [31]) indicate regime stability, reinforcing low YES prob.
Whale imbalance 0.925 indicates heavy bid pressure on YES at ultra-low prices (0.0035); far-future election with thin evidence, pulled toward 0.5 per calibration.
High orderbook imbalance (0.804) signals whale bid pressure on YES despite thin top-5 book and ultra-low market price (0.0025); liquidity $2.5M suggests efficiency but trigger indicates potential edge.
Recent reports of 32h Easter ceasefire (Al Jazeera [3], BBC [4]) & potential peace deal (Reuters [1]); slight bullish signal but temporary, not full CF.
Whale imbalance 0.62 towards YES; thin top orderbook (bids 0.08@0, asks 0.09@0); no news
Whale imbalance 0.691 shows strong bid pressure on YES shares at 0.0025 price amid $2.5M liquidity. No news or books to contradict. Thin top book but high overall liq.
Whale imbalance 0.903 on thin orderbook (bids 0.196@0, asks 0.201@0) indicates strong yes-side pressure amid low liquidity.
Extreme orderbook imbalance 0.960 indicates whale pressure on NO; thin liquidity at edges, market prices tail risk of distant Fed hike low, pulled toward 0.5 per calibration
Whale imbalance 0.986 (heavy yes bids) at ultra-low price 0.0045; thin book but trigger indicates potential undervaluation for long-term Fed cut market.
Extreme bid imbalance (0.993) signals whale buying YES at 0.85%; far-future (2026) thin evidence, price pulled toward 0.5 per calibration.
High orderbook imbalance (0.803) indicates whale bid pressure on YES amid thin top levels. No news; market price 0.105 suggests underpricing.
Whale imbalance 0.717 shows strong YES buy pressure; market price 0.0045 extremely low, thin orderbook (bids 0.004@0, asks 0.005@0)
Heavy YES bid imbalance (0.795) on $173k liquidity market suggests whale accumulation; thin book but no counter news/lines.