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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

other · resolves 2026-04-29

Resolution criteria

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whale/no 2026-04-10 14:12

Extreme orderbook imbalance 0.960 indicates whale pressure on NO; thin liquidity at edges, market prices tail risk of distant Fed hike low, pulled toward 0.5 per calibration

entry 0.993 · edge 0.170
whale/no 2026-04-10 13:25

Whale-triggered extreme orderbook imbalance (0.984); YES at 0.65%; no news; thin evidence for 2026 Fed hike.

entry 0.994 · edge 0.158