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Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

other · resolves 2026-07-20

Resolution criteria

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Our signals on this market

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whale/yes 2026-04-10 14:55

Heavy YES bid imbalance (0.825) suggests whale accumulation despite thin top-of-book and low fundamental odds for NZ.

entry 0.003 · edge 0.183
whale/yes 2026-04-10 14:08

Whale imbalance 0.824 indicates heavy YES-side pressure; thin orderbook (0 sizes shown) but high liquidity $2.7M and trigger confirm activity. Market at 0.0025, clamped per calibration.

entry 0.003 · edge 0.162
whale/yes 2026-04-10 14:08

Whale imbalance 0.824 favors YES; market 0.0025 but thin evidence (no news/lines); naive 1/48~2%; pull extreme low toward 0.5

entry 0.003 · edge 0.162