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Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

other · resolves 2026-10-04

Resolution criteria

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whale/yes 2026-04-10 14:26

Whale imbalance 0.925 indicates heavy bid pressure on YES at ultra-low prices (0.0035); far-future election with thin evidence, pulled toward 0.5 per calibration.

entry 0.004 · edge 0.196