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Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

other · resolves 2026-04-15

Resolution criteria

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Our signals on this market

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whale/yes 2026-04-10 14:58

Orderbook imbalance 0.877 signals strong YES-side whale pressure; thin book but liquidity $305k; no news to contradict.

entry 0.105 · edge 0.129
whale/yes 2026-04-10 14:11

High orderbook imbalance (0.803) indicates whale bid pressure on YES amid thin top levels. No news; market price 0.105 suggests underpricing.

entry 0.105 · edge 0.136
whale/yes 2026-04-10 13:24

Whale-driven yes imbalance of 0.758 on thin book (bids 0.100@0, asks 0.110@0); no news or conflicting info; vague resolution on non-existent ops.

entry 0.105 · edge 0.136