Step 1 of 3
What is Polymarket?
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market. People bet real money on yes/no questions — who wins the election, will this bill pass, what price will Bitcoin hit?
The market price of a "Yes" share directly reflects crowd probability. If Yes trades at $0.35, the crowd thinks 35% chance it happens. When the event resolves, Yes shares pay $1 (win) or $0 (lose).
Example
YES share
$0.35
crowd says 35%
→
if event happens
$1.00
+$0.65 profit
/
if it doesn't
$0.00
-$0.35 loss
Step 2 of 3
We find mispriced bets
Our AI reads every active Polymarket question continuously. When the crowd price meaningfully differs from our calibrated probability estimate — that gap is called an edge.
We publish a signal telling you exactly: what to buy, at what price, and how much to risk.
↑ YES
Will the Fed cut rates before September?
Fair P̂
0.427
AI estimate
Market prices YES at 34.2%. We estimate true probability is 42.7%. That 8.5% gap is the edge — buy Yes, target $1 payout.
Step 3 of 3
Audit it before you pay
Four AI bots bet $10,000 of paper money on every signal — in real time, publicly visible. Every signal is also timestamped on-chain before the market resolves.
Browse the scoreboard, watch the bots, read the signal history. No credit card until you're convinced.