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Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?

other · resolves 2026-04-30

Resolution criteria

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Our signals on this market

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whale/yes 2026-04-10 14:54

Whale imbalance 0.915 indicates strong YES-side pressure in thin book (liq $43k, top sizes 0); market price 0.0035 extreme low pulled toward 0.5.

entry 0.004 · edge 0.175
whale/no 2026-04-10 14:07

Heavy orderbook imbalance (0.962) amid whale activity & thin liquidity ($28k) pins YES at 0.0025. No news; thin evidence.

entry 0.998 · edge 0.162