Signal feed

Whale imbalance 0.697 indicates YES-side buying pressure; thin book but no news or lines to contradict low market price of 0.0045

Whale imbalance 0.642 amid thin orderbook (top bids/asks @0) suggests informed YES-side pressure; no news, long-dated market.

Whale imbalance 0.738 shows strong YES-side buying pressure despite thin top orderbook.

Whale imbalance of 0.607 shows YES-side pressure; no contrary news or lines; long-term market with thin top-of-book.

US ships transited Hormuz for mine-clearing [487]; Iran can't find own mines [486]; Trump: reopen soon w/ talks [506]. Positive developments boost P(normal by Apr30).

Calibration model puts YES at 67.3% vs market 1.6% — 65.8% drift after isotonic correction of original raw 42.0%.

Whale imbalance 0.950 indicates heavy yes-side buying pressure on thin book; true odds ~1% for contender in 2026 Finals

Extreme orderbook imbalance (0.947) suggests whale accumulation on YES at ultra-low prices (0.0045). No relevant NBA/76ers news in last 24h.

Whale imbalance 0.947 shows heavy bid pressure on yes despite thin top-of-book; long-term market with no contrary news.

Whale-driven bid imbalance 0.768 on thin book (bids 0.110@0, asks 0.120@0); no recent news.

Whale imbalance 0.748 heavily favors yes bids at ultra-low 0.0035 price; thin evidence but suggests undervaluation for Magic's contender potential in 2026.

Whale imbalance 0.754 indicates strong YES buy pressure. Market price 0.0035 low for Magic's contender potential; thin book sizes.

Whale imbalance 0.715 on thin orderbook (bids 0.004@0, asks 0.005@0); market at 0.45% undervalues BTC 150k potential in April 2025/26 bull cycle.

Whale imbalance 0.734 favoring YES; thin orderbook (bids 0.200@0, asks 0.210@0); no news.

Whale imbalance 0.62 towards YES; thin top orderbook (bids 0.08@0, asks 0.09@0); no news

Recent reports of 32h Easter ceasefire (Al Jazeera [3], BBC [4]) & potential peace deal (Reuters [1]); slight bullish signal but temporary, not full CF.

Whale imbalance of 0.82 favors YES at ultra-low price of 0.0025; thin long-term evidence, market price as baseline pulled slightly toward 0.5.

Orderbook imbalance 0.659 signals strong bid-side pressure (whale activity), suggesting upside from current 1.4% mid despite thin news/liquidity.

Orderbook imbalance 0.82 favors YES bids (whale_imbalance trigger), suggesting accumulation despite low 0.0025 price & long-term unlikelihood.

Whale imbalance 0.717 shows strong YES buy pressure; market price 0.0045 extremely low, thin orderbook (bids 0.004@0, asks 0.005@0)

Whale imbalance 0.986 (heavy yes bids) at ultra-low price 0.0045; thin book but trigger indicates potential undervaluation for long-term Fed cut market.

Extreme orderbook imbalance (0.980) indicates heavy bid-side liquidity, suggesting whale pressure on YES despite ultra-low price & high liquidity ($498k). Thin news; long-dated event.

Orderbook imbalance 0.913 indicates strong bid-side pressure (informed buying); true P(50+ bps Fed cut Apr 2026) ~5% >> market 0.35%; irrelevant news.

Extreme bid imbalance (0.993) signals whale buying YES at 0.85%; far-future (2026) thin evidence, price pulled toward 0.5 per calibration.

Extreme orderbook imbalance (0.991) on YES bids indicates whale accumulation, potential undervaluation vs market price of 0.45%; long-dated tail risk pulled toward 50.

Heavy YES imbalance (0.969) amid whale activity; market price 94.6% but thin external evidence pulls toward center.

Whale imbalance 0.921 favors YES on thin book (bids 0.945@0, asks 0.946@0). Market at 94.55% YES for conflict ending by Dec 31. No news; ambiguous resolution.

Orderbook imbalance 0.783 shows strong bid pressure, indicating potential informed whale buying on YES vs market price 20.5%

Orderbook imbalance 0.929 signals heavy informed YES buying pressure

Long 18mo horizon favors eventual de-escalation; current 9.5% price overly pessimistic amid escalations but ignores political shifts (e.g., US election).

Whale-driven yes imbalance of 0.758 on thin book (bids 0.100@0, asks 0.110@0); no news or conflicting info; vague resolution on non-existent ops.

High orderbook imbalance (0.803) indicates whale bid pressure on YES amid thin top levels. No news; market price 0.105 suggests underpricing.

Orderbook imbalance 0.877 signals strong YES-side whale pressure; thin book but liquidity $305k; no news to contradict.

Nuggets superior roster/depth vs rebuilding Spurs (Jokic > Wemby edge). Market at 35.5% misprices Nuggets as underdogs for 2026 matchup.

High orderbook imbalance (0.774) signals heavy informed buying pressure on YES shares at 18.5%, indicating undervaluation.

Orderbook imbalance of 0.798 signals whale buying YES, indicating informed accumulation and potential mispricing at 0.835.

Rory McIlroy takes largest 36-hole lead in Masters history per PGATour.com [260]; strong position with 2 rounds left

Heavy negative orderbook imbalance (-0.756) indicates whale selling YES, pushing price to 7.55%; Scheffler's #1 ranking & recent Masters win imply ~14% true prob for 2026.

Scheffler world #1, 2024 Masters winner; dominant form implies ~14% chance vs 7.75% price. Extreme ask imbalance likely overreaction.

McIlroy leads by 6 shots after Round 3 per Reuters [331] & NYT [347]; historically dominant position at Masters.

McIlroy leads by 6 shots entering 3rd round of 2026 Masters per Masters.com [320], Yahoo [308], Golf Channel [309]; market at 51% undervalues dominant position.

Rory McIlroy sets Masters 36-hole record with 6-shot lead (news [293],[287]); market lags at 56.5%

Golf Digest [358]: Rory McIlroy has built a monster lead in bid for second green jacket at 2026 Masters; USA Today [369] live updates confirm strong position late tournament.

Orderbook imbalance 0.797 signals strong bid-side pressure, indicating potential whale buying YES at 39.5% (undervalued)

Whale imbalance 0.630 suggests buy pressure on thin book; price 2.25% reasonable for longshot but edge to YES.

Schauffele top-3 golfer, 2x 2024 major winner; fair P~6% for 2026 Masters vs market 0.15%. Extreme low price despite thin liq.

Whale imbalance 0.915 indicates strong YES-side pressure in thin book (liq $43k, top sizes 0); market price 0.0035 extreme low pulled toward 0.5.

Whale bid imbalance 0.781 on thin book at low prices ([email protected]); no news but trigger indicates buying interest

Whale imbalance 0.727 shows strong YES-side orderbook pressure despite ultra-low market price.

Whale imbalance 0.866 indicates strong YES-side orderbook pressure despite thin top-of-book (depth 0) and ultra-low price; no news.

Strong YES bid imbalance (0.911) on thin orderbook ($29k liq); no news or criteria provided.

Whale imbalance 0.613 on thin $25k book w/ yes_price 0.0015; suggests undervaluation on specific low-prob event.

Whale imbalance 0.661 signals yes pressure in thin book. 0.25% price undervalues Rahm (past Masters winner, top golfer) vs ~3-5% fair odds for 2026.

High orderbook imbalance (0.690) signals whale bid pressure on YES at thin liquidity ($42k); market price 0.25% likely undervalued for top golfer like Rahm.

Market at 0.15% vs realistic ~80% prob given BTC's long-term bullish trend, halving cycles, and historical growth; 76k in Apr 2026 not ambitious from current levels.

Significant buy-side order book imbalance (0.757) suggests informed whale buying YES (Nationals win) in high-liquidity market ($576k).

Market at 9.5% severely underprices Rangers MLB win prob vs Dodgers; priors for underdog in reg season game ~40-45% given team strengths.

MLB reg season win probs never <20%; 1.5% impossible even for Rockies underdog vs Padres. Realistic ~32%. Thin book explains misprice.

Blaydes (elite UFC HW, 18-4) heavy favorite vs regional Hokit; price depressed by whale NO bet (imbalance -0.779)

High orderbook imbalance 0.864 on whale trigger indicates buy pressure on YES despite low price

Extreme orderbook imbalance (0.902) on YES with whale_imbalance trigger; current price 0.195 undervalues amid heavy bid pressure.