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How to act on a signal — 30-second guide
1
Open Polymarket
Click "Trade on Polymarket" on any signal card to jump directly to the market.
2
Buy at or below entry
Signal says entry 0.34? Buy Yes shares at ≤ $0.34. Above that, the edge shrinks.
3
Size with Kelly
Kelly 5% with a $1,000 bankroll = risk $50 on this trade. Never exceed the Kelly fraction.
4
Wait for resolution
Polymarket markets resolve at expiry. Winning Yes shares pay $1 each, losing pay $0.
⚠️ Research signals only — not financial advice. See disclaimer.
All ✓ Resolved ⏳ Open sports politics geopolitical finance crypto other
36 signals · sorted by newest
↑ YES LATEST whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:07 UTC
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Whale imbalance of 0.603 (bid-heavy) on $2.3M liquidity market suggests upward pressure on low 0.45% yes price; thin top book but triggered on whale activity.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.005
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
16.0%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 $1338 ⚖️ $1487 🛡️ $2500
↑ YES ✗ LOST whale 💰 finance Apr 10 · 14:07 UTC
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Whale imbalance of 0.82 favors YES at ultra-low price of 0.0025; thin long-term evidence, market price as baseline pulled slightly toward 0.5.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.003
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
16.9%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 -$1,338 ⚖️ -$1,487 🛡️ -$2,500
↓ NO whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:07 UTC
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Orderbook shows heavy ask-side imbalance (-0.767) with whale_imbalance trigger, indicating strong selling pressure on YES; suggests current 8.9% price may be high.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.911
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
11.7%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 $1338 ⚖️ $1487 🛡️ $2500
Bots 🔥 +$3 ⚖️ +$4 🛡️ +$6
↑ YES whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:06 UTC
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Whale imbalance 0.739 favors yes (bid-heavy); thin book (top sizes 0), no news or lines to contradict; market price extreme low pulled per calibration.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.005
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
16.0%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 $1338 ⚖️ $1487 🛡️ $2500
↑ YES ✗ LOST whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:06 UTC
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Whale imbalance 0.754 indicates strong YES buy pressure. Market price 0.0035 low for Magic's contender potential; thin book sizes.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.004
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
16.1%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 -$1,338 ⚖️ -$1,487 🛡️ -$2,500
↑ YES whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:05 UTC
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Whale-driven bid imbalance of 0.840; thin evidence, no news; market price 0.0025 but clamped for calibration.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.003
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
16.2%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 $1338 ⚖️ $1487 🛡️ $2500
↑ YES ✗ LOST whale ₿ crypto Apr 10 · 14:04 UTC
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Whale imbalance 0.734 favoring YES; thin orderbook (bids 0.200@0, asks 0.210@0); no news.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.205
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
10.6%
mispricing
Bots 🔮 -$1,626 🔥 -$870 ⚖️ -$1,209 🛡️ -$1,626
Bots 🔥 -$1,338 ⚖️ -$1,487 🛡️ -$2,500
↓ NO ✓ WON whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:04 UTC
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Extreme orderbook imbalance (-0.989) with thin book suggests whale sell pressure on YES; no contrary news.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.944
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
13.2%
mispricing
Bots ⚡ +$122 🔥 +$79 ⚖️ +$88 🛡️ +$148
↑ YES whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:04 UTC
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Bid imbalance 0.778 signals whale YES interest amid thin top orderbook. No news/lines. Market at 0.0025 reflects longshot status; clamped per calibration.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.003
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
16.2%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 $1338 ⚖️ $1487 🛡️ $2500
↑ YES whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:04 UTC
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Whale imbalance 0.638 indicates buy pressure on YES amid thin top-of-book; high liq market at 0.55% but pull extreme low toward 0.5 per calibration.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.006
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
15.9%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 $1338 ⚖️ $1487 🛡️ $2500
↑ YES ✗ LOST whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:03 UTC
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Whale imbalance 0.630 suggests buy pressure on thin book; price 2.25% reasonable for longshot but edge to YES.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.023
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
14.6%
mispricing
Bots ⚡ -$2,053 🔥 -$1,338 ⚖️ -$1,487 🛡️ -$2,500
↓ NO ✓ WON whale ₿ crypto Apr 10 · 14:03 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?

Heavy ask imbalance (-0.705) on thin top-of-book indicates whale selling YES, increased bearish pressure vs market price of 1.75%

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.983
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
14.7%
mispricing
Bots 🔮 +$36 🔥 +$24 ⚖️ +$26 🛡️ +$45
↑ YES ✗ LOST whale 🗳️ politics Apr 10 · 14:03 UTC
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Whale imbalance 0.697 indicates YES-side buying pressure; thin book but no news or lines to contradict low market price of 0.0045

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.005
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
16.0%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 -$1,338 ⚖️ -$1,487 🛡️ -$2,500
↑ YES ✓ WON whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:03 UTC
Timberwolves vs. Rockets

Extreme orderbook imbalance (0.902) on YES with whale_imbalance trigger; current price 0.195 undervalues amid heavy bid pressure.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.195
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
11.6%
mispricing
Bots ⚡ +$5,263 🔥 +$5,720 ⚖️ +$6,101 🛡️ +$7,627
↑ YES ✗ LOST whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:03 UTC
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Whale imbalance 0.738 shows strong YES-side buying pressure despite thin top orderbook.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.016
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
15.2%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 -$1,338 ⚖️ -$1,487 🛡️ -$2,500
↑ YES whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:03 UTC
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Orderbook imbalance of 0.953 indicates heavy YES-side liquidity/whale activity supporting higher price than current 0.0045 mid.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.005
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
16.0%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 $1338 ⚖️ $1487 🛡️ $2500
↑ YES ✓ WON whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:02 UTC
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Heavy YES imbalance (0.969) amid whale activity; market price 94.6% but thin external evidence pulls toward center.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.946
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
15.2%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 +$76 ⚖️ +$85 🛡️ +$143
↑ YES whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:02 UTC
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Whale imbalance of 0.723 indicates buy pressure on YES; market price 1.65% low for Morocco post-2022 semis run, thin evidence only orderbook.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.017
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
15.8%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 $1338 ⚖️ $1487 🛡️ $2500
↑ YES ✗ LOST whale 🗳️ politics Apr 10 · 14:02 UTC
Netanyahu out by April 30?

Orderbook imbalance 0.659 signals strong bid-side pressure (whale activity), suggesting upside from current 1.4% mid despite thin news/liquidity.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.014
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
15.0%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 -$1,338 ⚖️ -$1,487 🛡️ -$2,500
↑ YES ✗ LOST whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:02 UTC
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Whale imbalance 0.661 signals yes pressure in thin book. 0.25% price undervalues Rahm (past Masters winner, top golfer) vs ~3-5% fair odds for 2026.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.003
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
16.9%
mispricing
Bots ⚡ -$2,053 🔥 -$1,338 ⚖️ -$1,487 🛡️ -$2,500
↑ YES whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:01 UTC
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Strong orderbook imbalance (0.833) indicates whale buying pressure on YES; no contrary news.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.023
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
14.6%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 $1338 ⚖️ $1487 🛡️ $2500
↓ NO ✓ WON whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 14:01 UTC
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Extreme negative orderbook imbalance (-0.842) signals whale selling pressure on YES, thin top-of-book.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.937
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
11.9%
mispricing
Bots ⚡ +$138 🔥 +$90 ⚖️ +$100 🛡️ +$168
↑ YES ✗ LOST whale 🌍 geopolitical Apr 10 · 14:01 UTC
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?

Whale imbalance 0.866 indicates strong YES-side orderbook pressure despite thin top-of-book (depth 0) and ultra-low price; no news.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.010
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
15.4%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 -$1,338 ⚖️ -$1,487 🛡️ -$2,500
↑ YES whale 🌍 geopolitical Apr 10 · 14:01 UTC
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Whale imbalance 0.604 amid thin book (sizes@0); market mid ~3.5%; no news; pulled toward 0.5 for thin evidence.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.036
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
14.9%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 $1338 ⚖️ $1487 🛡️ $2500
Bots 🔥 +$37 ⚖️ +$41 🛡️ +$69
↓ NO ✓ WON whale 🗳️ politics Apr 10 · 13:26 UTC
Trump out as President by April 30?

Market at 1.55% YES; strong negative imbalance (-0.646) signals whale pressure selling YES amid thin top book.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.985
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
14.9%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 +$21 ⚖️ +$23 🛡️ +$39
↑ YES ✗ LOST whale 💰 finance Apr 10 · 13:25 UTC
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Extreme orderbook imbalance (0.991) on YES bids indicates whale accumulation, potential undervaluation vs market price of 0.45%; long-dated tail risk pulled toward 50.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.005
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
18.4%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 -$1,338 ⚖️ -$1,487 🛡️ -$2,500
↓ NO ✓ WON whale 💰 finance Apr 10 · 13:25 UTC
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Whale imbalance of 0.956 on thin top-of-book pushes YES to 0.0075; long-term market with 320k liq reflects low cut prob, no counter news.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.993
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
16.4%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 +$10 ⚖️ +$11 🛡️ +$19
Bots 🔥 +$9 ⚖️ +$10 🛡️ +$16
↓ NO ✗ LOST whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 13:25 UTC
76ers vs. Pacers

Whale imbalance -0.882 shows heavy sell pressure on YES despite 88.5% price; thin evidence pulls extreme market price toward 0.5.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.115
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
16.1%
mispricing
Bots ⚡ -$1,500 🔥 -$2,500 ⚖️ -$2,000 🛡️ -$2,500
↑ YES whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 13:25 UTC
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

High yes-side imbalance (0.610) suggests whale buying yes; thin orderbook (0@ top) but liquidity $173k; no news.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.148
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
10.8%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 $1144 ⚖️ $1487 🛡️ $2137
↑ YES ✓ WON whale 🌍 geopolitical Apr 10 · 13:24 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Whale-driven bid imbalance 0.768 on thin book (bids 0.110@0, asks 0.120@0); no recent news.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.115
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
14.0%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 +$10,297 ⚖️ +$11,445 🛡️ +$19,239
↑ YES ✗ LOST whale 🗳️ politics Apr 10 · 13:24 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Whale-driven yes imbalance of 0.758 on thin book (bids 0.100@0, asks 0.110@0); no news or conflicting info; vague resolution on non-existent ops.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.105
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
13.6%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 -$1,338 ⚖️ -$1,487 🛡️ -$2,500
↑ YES ✗ LOST whale ⚽ sports Apr 10 · 13:24 UTC
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Whale imbalance 0.947 shows heavy bid pressure on yes despite thin top-of-book; long-term market with no contrary news.

Trade on Polymarket
Entry
i
The Yes share price when this signal fired. Buy at or below this price for the edge to hold.
0.005
market price
Edge
i
How underpriced we believe this bet is. Edge = |P̂ − entry|. We only publish if ≥ 3%.
16.0%
mispricing
Bots 🔥 -$1,338 ⚖️ -$1,487 🛡️ -$2,500
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