Step 1 of 3

What is Polymarket?

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market. People bet real money on yes/no questions — who wins the election, will this bill pass, what price will Bitcoin hit?

The market price of a "Yes" share directly reflects crowd probability. If Yes trades at $0.35, the crowd thinks 35% chance it happens. When the event resolves, Yes shares pay $1 (win) or $0 (lose).

Example

YES share
$0.35
crowd says 35%
→
if event happens
$1.00
+$0.65 profit
/
if it doesn't
$0.00
-$0.35 loss

Step 2 of 3

We find mispriced bets

Our AI reads every active Polymarket question continuously. When the crowd price meaningfully differs from our calibrated probability estimate — that gap is called an edge.

We publish a signal telling you exactly: what to buy, at what price, and how much to risk.

↑ YES

Will the Fed cut rates before September?

Entry

0.342

market price

Edge

+8.5%

mispricing

Fair P̂

0.427

AI estimate

Market prices YES at 34.2%. We estimate true probability is 42.7%. That 8.5% gap is the edge — buy Yes, target $1 payout.

Step 3 of 3

Audit it before you pay

Four AI bots bet $10,000 of paper money on every signal — in real time, publicly visible. Every signal is also timestamped on-chain before the market resolves.

Browse the scoreboard, watch the bots, read the signal history. No credit card until you're convinced.

Watch $10k paper portfolios betting in real time

12 bots predicting BTC price on 5m–4h intervals

Brier-scored accuracy on every resolved signal

polysignals.dev

Sign in Start Pro

Live · News Reactor strategy

📰 News Reactor live

Fires only on breaking news. Each freshly-tagged market triggers an LLM evaluation; narrow-band signals only. Designed to capture rapid re-pricing windows after news lands. ~10 LLM calls/day.

Bankroll

$10000

+$0.00 +0.0% vs $10000 start

Record

—

no settled bets yet

Open Bets

0

      peak $10000
    

Today's bets

Positions opened & settled today

      
      live
    

⏳

No bets placed yet today

The bot fires the moment a new signal is published.

Short-term bets

Markets resolving within 30 days

≤ 30 days

Open positions 0

No open short-term positions.

Long-term bets

Markets resolving in 30+ days

30+ days

Open positions 0

No open long-term positions.

Get signals the moment PolyBot places a bet

Pro and Edge subscribers receive every signal instantly via Telegram — same signals you see above, with full rationale and fair value.

Pro — $39/mo Edge — $149/mo

Paper money only — no real funds at risk. Disclaimer